ISSN 1004-4140
    CN 11-3017/P

    基于非增强CT影像组学模型预测幕上自发性脑出血早期血肿扩大

    Prediction of Early Hematoma Expansion in Supratentorial Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage Using Non-contrast CT Radiomics Models

    • 摘要: 本研究旨在构建临床-影像混合模型以预测幕上自发性脑出血患者的早期血肿扩大。回顾性纳入307例幕上自发性脑出血患者患者,按7︰3分为训练集(n=214)和验证集(n=93)。整合临床因子(格拉斯哥评分、血清钙离子浓度、症状发作至非增强CT扫描时间)与影像因子(混合征、中线移位、影像组学评分),通过Boruta算法筛选15个核心影像组学特征。采用7种机器学习算法构建模型,随机森林模型表现最优:训练集AUC=0.933,验证集AUC=0.936。决策曲线分析显示,在0~20%概率阈值区间,模型净获益提升,对OT≤2小时患者敏感度达91%。研究证实临床-影像混合模型可精准量化血肿异质性,为急诊分级干预提供决策支持。

       

      Abstract: We developed a Clinical-Radiomics model (CRM) to predict early hematoma expansion in supratentorial spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ssICH). A retrospective cohort of 307 ssICH patients was split into training (n=214) and validation (n=93) sets. This model integrated clinical factors (GCS score, serum ionized calcium, onset time to non-contrast CT scan) and imaging markers (blend sign, midline shift, radiomics score). The boruta algorithm selected 15 core radiomics features. Among seven machine learning models, random forest achieved optimal performance (training AUC=0.933, validation AUC=0.936). Decision curve analysis demonstrated a higher net benefit strategy at 0-20% threshold, with 91% sensitivity for OT≤2h patients. Our CRM enables precise hematoma heterogeneity quantification and supports emergency tiered interventions.

       

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