ISSN 1004-4140
CN 11-3017/P
张苏波, 徐永军, 孙毅, 万金鑫, 赵妍, 刘静芳, 王锐. PI-RADS v2.1联合PSA相关指标预测PSA灰区前列腺癌的价值研究[J]. CT理论与应用研究, 2021, 30(5): 567-574. DOI: 10.15953/j.1004-4140.2021.30.05.04
引用本文: 张苏波, 徐永军, 孙毅, 万金鑫, 赵妍, 刘静芳, 王锐. PI-RADS v2.1联合PSA相关指标预测PSA灰区前列腺癌的价值研究[J]. CT理论与应用研究, 2021, 30(5): 567-574. DOI: 10.15953/j.1004-4140.2021.30.05.04
ZHANG Subo, XU Yongjun, SUN Yi, WAN Jinxin, ZHAO Yan, LIU Jingfang, WANG Rui. Study on the Value of Predicting Prostate Cancer in the Grey Zone of PSA by Use of PI-RADS v2.1 Combined with PSA-related Indicators[J]. CT Theory and Applications, 2021, 30(5): 567-574. DOI: 10.15953/j.1004-4140.2021.30.05.04
Citation: ZHANG Subo, XU Yongjun, SUN Yi, WAN Jinxin, ZHAO Yan, LIU Jingfang, WANG Rui. Study on the Value of Predicting Prostate Cancer in the Grey Zone of PSA by Use of PI-RADS v2.1 Combined with PSA-related Indicators[J]. CT Theory and Applications, 2021, 30(5): 567-574. DOI: 10.15953/j.1004-4140.2021.30.05.04

PI-RADS v2.1联合PSA相关指标预测PSA灰区前列腺癌的价值研究

Study on the Value of Predicting Prostate Cancer in the Grey Zone of PSA by Use of PI-RADS v2.1 Combined with PSA-related Indicators

  • 摘要: 目的:探讨建立前列腺影像报告及数据系统(PI-RADS v2.1)联合前列腺抗原(PSA)相关衍生物的Logistic模型对PSA灰区(4~10ng/mL)前列腺癌(PCa)的诊断价值。材料与方法:回顾性分析经病理证实的49例前列腺癌(PCa)和118例非癌患者的资料,包括年龄、tPSA、fPSA、PI-RADS v2.1评分、PSAD、fPSA/tPSA。对组间有统计学差异的指标进行Logistic回归分析,确定PCa独立预测指标,并分别联合PI-RADS v2.1评分建立Logistic回归预测模型。通过受试者工作特性曲线(ROC)评价各模型的诊断效能。结果:①年龄、tPSA、fPSA在PCa与非癌组间无统计学差异,fPSA/tPSA、PSAD、PI-RADS v2.1评分有统计学差异。②Logistic回归分析显示PI-RADS v2.1评分、PSAD、fPSA/tPSA为PCa独立预测因子;拟建立预测模型,A模型:Logit(P)=-10.82+2.32×PI-RADS v2.1+11.89×PSAD;B模型:Logit(P)=-6.13+2.19×PI-RADS v2.1-12.02×fPSA/tPSA。ROC曲线下面积分别为0.918和0.893,均高于单独使用PI-RADS v2.1评分,差异具有统计学意义。其中A模型敏感度0.843、特异度0.829,较单独使用PI-RADS v2.1评分(敏感度0.767、特异度0.801)诊断效能最佳。结论:PI-RADS v2.1评分联合PSA相关指标建立的Logistic模型在PSA灰区前列腺癌的诊断效能均优于单独运用PI-RADS v2.1评分,能够避免不必要的穿刺活检,对优化临床治疗策略具有较好的指导作用。

     

    Abstract: Objective: We intend to investigate the diagnostic value of establishing the Logistic regression model based on Prostate Imaging Report and Data System (PI-RADS v2.1) combined with prostate specific antigen (PSA) which is applied in PSA gray area(4~10ng/mL) prostate cancer. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the pathologically-certified clinical data of 49 cases with prostate cancer (PCa) and 118 non-cancer cases who underwent prostate biopsy, the data covered age, tPSA, fPSA, PI-RADS v2.1 evaluation, PSAD and fPSA/tPSA. We performed logistic regression analysis on the indicators with statistical difference between the groups, and obtained ascertained independent PCa predictors, furthermore we respectively established regression prediction model by combination with PI-RADS v2.1 evaluation. The diagnostic efficacy of each model was evaluated by the operating characteristic curve (ROC) of subjects. Results: (1) There was no significant statistical difference in age, tPSA and fPSA between the PCa and non-cancer patients. But evaluation of PI-RADS v2.1, fPSA/tPSA, and PSAD showed significant statistical differences. (2) Logistic regression analysis indicated that PI-RADS v2.1evaluation, PSAD, and fPSA/tPSA are independent predictors of PCa; we established prediction models A and B as follows;Model A: Logit (P)=-10.82+2.32×PI-RADS v2.1+11.89×PSAD; Model B: Logit (P)=-6.13+2.19×PI-RADS v2.1-12.02×fPSA/tPSA. The area under the ROC curve was respectively 0.918 and 0.893, both were higher than the PI-RADS v2.1 evaluation independently applied, and we found that the differences were statistically significant. The sensitivity of model A was 0.843 and the specificity was 0.829, which showed better diagnostic efficacy compared with the sensitivity and specificity we got when the PI-RADS v2.1 evaluation was independently used (sensitivity 0.767 and specificity 0.801).Conclusion: The Logistic model established by combing PI-RADS v2.1 evaluation with PSA-related indicators showed better diagnostic efficacy in PSA grey area prostate cancer than PI-RADS v2.1 applied independently, in this way unnecessary needle biopsy can be avoided, and would play a significant instructive role in optimizing clinical treatment strategies.

     

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